Performance Analysis of Temperature Models for Environmental Monitoring in Southwest Nigeria

dc.contributor.authorDairo, Oluropo
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-29T16:06:40Z
dc.date.available2022-04-29T16:06:40Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractTemperature is a major meteorological parameter driving most of the atmospheric processes vis-a`-vis climate change. Therefore, a consistent model is necessary to achieve sustainable development goal 13 (SDG 13) known as climate action. Long-term monthly averages of surface temperature obtained from six southwest states in Nigeria were subjected to five mathematical models, namely the sum of two-Gaussians, the sum of two-Lorentzians, Fourier on four harmonics, Sine wave and Fourth-order polynomial functions. Statistical tools were used to examine the accuracy and fitness of the models. The evaluation showed that the Gaussian and Lorentzian models are good fits for the observed data. Furthermore, the performance indicators such as mean bias error (MBE), root mean square error (RMSE) and mean percentage error (MPE) recorded the lowest values for Fourier on the fourth harmonic model. Similarly, its correlation coefficient, R, was the highest ranging from 0.95 to 1. Consequently, the Fourier model presented the best correlation with the observed data and hence was recommended for predicting the temperature at the selected locations.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNoneen_US
dc.identifier.citationWilloughby, A.A. Ndubuisi, A.O., Dairo, O.F., Aizebheokhai, A.P. and Oludotun, J.O. (2019) Performance Analysis of Temperature Models for Environmental Monitoring in Southwest Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Environment and Health, Vol. 2(1), 65 – 74.en_US
dc.identifier.issn2616-0714
dc.identifier.issn2616-0706
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.run.edu.ng:8080/jspui/handle/123456789/2543
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherLivingScience Foundationen_US
dc.subjectTemperature modelsen_US
dc.subjectPredictive modelsen_US
dc.subjectSurface temperatureen_US
dc.subjectStatistical testen_US
dc.subjectAnnual variationen_US
dc.titlePerformance Analysis of Temperature Models for Environmental Monitoring in Southwest Nigeriaen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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